I’m bearish on blogging and have been so publicly since the publication of the Techmeme 100. The “problem” (more of a natural phenomenon really) is as follows: in order to compete in today’s ‘blogosphere,’ you need a high volume of news being published. What this means for a blog: you need to do a lot of writing, which means a ton of research (sometimes), a ton of time, and a ton of output.

You’ll need to have multiple people on the team to hit the magic timeframe of where people in your market (usually the US one) read news. You need to pay these people somehow. This already represents a barrier to blogging on a professional level, as to pay people you need traffic and to get traffic you sometimes need to do things that are out of your ethical sphere. Gizmodo’s questionable appropriation of the next iPhone comes to mind.

It comes down to being newsworthy. Gizmodo’s actions are nothing new to media, as news usually comes from 3 sources:

• good research, leading to original IP
• copy-pasting other stories (hopefully combined with some value-adding research)
• wallet-based reporting—you pay sources for original IP.

As mentioned, this is nothing new and what the Techmeme leader-board made clear was that the leading blogs are actually no longer “blogs,” they are digital newspapers. And, I assume, because blogging still has this cool ring of independent news reporting to it, those sites decided to keep the title.

So what does that mean for an up-and-coming website? Take TheNextWeb, which I’ve been aware of since the days of Friendfeed—Zee, the editorial director of the site, had a very high-profile presence on FriendFeed (incidentally, it makes for an interesting case study of how early adopters on social networks can rise to the top and use that to leverage their relevance in other areas) and it was interesting to see how they went about making their site a significant news source. And, sadly (but perhaps realistically), their strategy at the beginning appears to have been to simply report the same news that others have been reporting. This year, there was of course the TheNextWeb conference, which made some headlines and which perhaps means that there will be a shift in strategy of news reporting by the site.

I think that, bearing the economics of news reporting in mind, which largely depend on producing large quantities of timely news, copy-pasting news is a realistic approach towards growing a blog to professionalism. On the other hand, it represents a big problem. Back when my Twitter-feed followed Techcrunch, TheNextWeb, and some other tech-blogs, I was bombarded by the SAME news coming from different sites within 20 tweets. It got so annoying that I complained to e.g. Zee at TNW, and I finally ended up unsubscribing from any newsblog on Twitter, instead subscribing to their newsfeed via RSS, which is more manageable.

It sounds like a cliche, but we live in a highly transparent real-time web. Every online news source is trying to profile itself as the most relevant and they do so by trying to be quickest, loudest, but not necessarily by being the most unique. It’s easy to copy news, because there are no pay-walls to prevent this from happening. The problem is how this affects people, and as a consequence other blogs (I’m a firm believer in survival of the fittest, so in principle blogs that do not make it simply do so because the nature of the blogosphere is pushing them out).

I think that people react to the bombardment of news in a way that they prefer to stick to a few sites that give them enough news to be informed (this is ignoring aggregators like Digg and YCombinator, which adds another layer of complexity). Ultimately there will only be a few professional blogs serving news for a given industry (arguably, there already are just a few relevant ones with many, many irrelevant ones), and they will benefit from network effects for both access to news, access to advertisers, and access to other factors.

To answer my question of “Is “Great artists steal” still a good mantra for Blogging?”, it is a great startup strategy, which leads to more visitors, more advertising revenue, better research/writing, and ultimately (HOPEFULLY!) a better blog. But it requires a shifting of ethics that usually comes with running a business. Instead of serving your own interest as a writer / creator, you serve business interests of generating traffic which ultimately leads to a better quality blog (again hopefully), but not without its compromises.

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